Tag Archives: Sarkozy

France, Greece, Serbia – elections under the impact of austerity

The first weekend of May is proving extremely eventful. Let’s take a look around…
Sunday, 6 May 2012, the main event will be, of course, France presidential election.  Some 46 million French will decide who will be their new President: Sarkozy or Hollande. Elections are running in Serbia and Greece, too. About the elections in France I will refer in a separate post.

Belgrad – Tadic’s strategy may works ?

Also Serbia is to hold presidential, parliamentary and municipal elections on Sunday. Tadic’s surprise resignation in April paved the way for early elections. But, according Businesswek, “the Serbian Democratic Party may lose May 6 general elections, while its leader, President Boris Tadic, will be forced into a runoff as voters reject moves to bring the former Yugoslav republic to the European Union. As governments from Ireland to Italy fall in a wave of anger over austerity, Tadic’s strategy to link a presidential vote to general elections to help his party may have fizzled.”. The build-up to the marathon vote has been dominated by economic issues, overshadowing debates about the country’s bid to join the EU. A struggling economy, growing joblessness (Serbia is plagued by unemployment of 24% and foreign debt of 24bn euros (£19.5bn; $31.5bn) and widespread discontent over falling living standards have taken center stage in Serbia’s election campaign, pushing aside debates over the country’s EU ambitions. Although is the main priority of Serbia’s foreign policy, European Union integration was outdated and uninteresting in the election campaign, even if Serbia was declared an official candidate for EU membership in March. Another central political issue in Serbia, which has hardly been mentioned in the election campaign, is the dispute over Kosovo. Serbia still refuses to recognize the sovereignty of the breakaway province (which declared independence in 2008), but pressures are rising from the EU on this issue. Notice that most political parties agree on this position towards Kosovo. But experts believe it will reach a compromise, both leading candidates, Boris Tadic from the reformist Democratic Party and his closest rival, opposition leader Tomislav Nikolic from the nationalist Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), want to steer Serbia towards the European Union. According Reuters News Agency, their parties are expected to form the strongest political groups in the future Serbian parliament.

Athena – Nothing new under the sun of Hellenic Republic

Also, the Greeks will choose Sunday between IMF-imposed austerity measures and leaving the euro. Will be the most disputed elections since 1974, and will mark a dangerous revival of extremist parties and decide the future single currency. Economic crisis and corruption among the political class have made as the surveys to show that in parliament will get about ten political parties (of the 32 formations entered in the electoral competition) from just five, at the previous election. Experts believe that the new extremist parliamentary parties will be the big winners of elections in Greece. With regard to post-election scenarios, Business Insider claims that Greece will be conducted after elections by the same coalition of conservatives and socialists, but the head will be another leader. As the threshold is 3% and competing 32 parties, many votes will dissipate, and the two big parties will get more seats than votes received would indicate. Since the restoration of the democratic regime in Greece, in 1974, conservatives and socialists were obtained with between 70 and 80% of votes, but polls now show a fall to below 40%.

UpdateFirst Official Greek Exit Polls – according to exit polls from NET TV, the results are as follows:

  • New Democracy: 17-20%
  • Pasok: 14-17%
  • In a stunner, Syrizia, or the coalition of the radical left – a vehement anti-Bailout party – gets more votes than the ruling PASOK party: 15.5%-18.5%
  • Independent Greeks: 10-12%
  • Finally, and not surprisingly in the aftermath of the French results, the ultra right Golden Dawn gets 6-8% of the vote and will make it into Parliament
Update_2: Early results in Greece’s parliamentary election suggest the two main parties have suffered dramatic losses. With 11% of the vote counted, centre-right New Democracy is in the lead with 22%, down from 33.5% in 2009. Centre-left Pasok is in second place with 16%, down from 43.9% in the last elections. Syriza, a left-wing coalition, is in third place with 15%. It could rises the instability for Greece. New Democracy may be unable to form a government, there may be calls for a fresh election and possibly even anti-bailout parties from the left and right may attempt to form a coalition.
Update_3: A new election seems increasingly likely within weeks after two days of failed efforts to reach an agreement among parties deeply divided over whether to stick to a program that saved Greece from bankruptcy but caused steep economic hardship.

Attack against Libya – Political Realism or just a filthy and disgusting way of doing politics ?

Faced with a serious drop in the eyes of French, President Nicholas Sarkozy felt the need to pretend to be the leader of anti-Gadhafi coalition. Of course, it will not restore the population’s sympathy.

But, I don′t understand how is possible as high  world leaders to not realize that are sad pathetic and ridiculous

French President Nicolas Sarkozy, left, welcomes United Arab Emirates' Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan for a crisis summit on Libya at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Saturday, March, 19, 2011. World leaders met Saturday in a summit in Paris that could be the final step before immediate international military action against Moammar Gadhafi's forces in Libya.

with a coalition leader who became president on Gadhafi‘s money. Also who was charged of leading nuclear business with the same dictator, on the issue of Bulgarian nurses. More, I don′t even bother to explain why juridic an interference with glitter of democracy is still illegal.

But I would like to mention some questions to which Mr Sarkozy has not responded, even if he was quick to recognize, wrongly again, a gang  by rebels as political interlocutor. Who are these rebels ? How are they ? What percentage of the population of Libya are they ? How many international observers in Libya last month ? What future strategy supporting these rebels ? It seems to me that the rebels aren′t some geniuses worthy of the  Peace Nobel Prize or some top leaders of human rights…

Let us be clear: Gadhafi is a dictator. But is a dictator who was  tolerated as long as it was useful. Functional hypocrisy… Some call it Political Realism. I think it’s just filthy and disgusting way of doing politics. We see that in the forefront of anti-Gadhafi coalition are  leaders (US, UK, France, Italy) who have just spoked «Gadhafi must go» at the beginning of the uprising Libyan. For they, Gadhafi’s staying in power means Goodbye to Libyan oil. For they is an urgent need the tyrant Gadhafi to emerge from the world political picture. What price ? The price paid by the public ? Or oil prices ? We’ll see. 😀 As we have already seen what happiness  was and is in Iraq after Saddam‘s removal from the scene !!

Munich Conference on Security Policy – Moscow October 2010

The Munich Security Conference will gather for a session in Moscow on October 19-20, Foreign Ministry said Foreign Minister spokesman Andrei Nesterenko,  quoted  by Itar Tass. Nesterenko also pointed to the fact that the session comes ahead of an OSCE summit in Astana and a NATO summit in Lisbon, where the alliance’s new strategy is expected to be adopted.
“The forum is expected to focus on Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s initiative on a new European security treaty. The participants in the conference will determine the principles on the indivisibility of security” the official said.

UPDATE/October 20: Among the foreign representatives of the conference’s visiting session were its chairman, Wolfgang Ischinger, counsellor at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies and well-known political scientist Zbigniew Brzezinski, German ambassador to Russia Ulrich Brandenburg, chairman of the economic council of the CDU Kurt Lauk, and Special Assistant to the President of the United States and Senior Director for Russia and Eurasian Affairs at the United States National Security Council Michael McFaul. Other participants in the meeting included former foreign minister of Poland and current expert at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Adam Rotfeld, ROSNO insurance company CEO Hannes Chopra, and Parliamentary Secretary to the Federal Ministry of Defence of Germany Christian Schmidt. Participants on the Russian side included Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Presidential Aide Sergei Prikhodko, Chairman of the State Duma International Affairs Committee Konstantin Kosachev, Russia’s Permanent Envoy to NATO Dmitry Rogozin, Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko, and Institute of Contemporary Development Chairman Igor Yurgens, notice presidential site kremlin.ru
Particular attention was given to the President of Russia’s initiative to sign a new European Security Treaty that would enshrine the principle of the indivisibility of security in the Euro-Atlantic area. In his speech, Dmitry Medvedev stated that relations with Europe are one of the most important vectors in Russia’s foreign policy and emphasised that today, Europe needs to follow a unified European agenda.
Also, discussions haven’t bypassed a topic that is currently in the press lately in Europe: Trans-Dniester.
“We are working actively on regional issues now. You mentioned Trans-Dniester. I discussed this issue yesterday (Deauville meeting, France) with my colleagues, the French President and German Chancellor. I think that this issue can be resolved for sure. Achieving this requires all of the parties to take an open position. Chisinau and Tiraspol were ready to work out an agreement. This is possible because I got the former Moldovan president and Trans-Dniester’s leader together. They can sit down at the same table and talk to each other, through gritted teeth at times, perhaps, but they can talk. They can draw up joint decisions, and sign them too”. the parliamentary and presidential crisis in Moldova has left the country without an effective government for now, but as soon as one is formed we will be fully ready to continue these efforts. We are ready to work with the European Union and our partners in Europe on this. The main thing is for the countries sponsoring this process to take an unbiased position”.
If after the meeting in Bucharest Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Traian Basescu has avoided making statements on resolving the frozen conflict in Trans-Dniester, in turn now we know how to see things from the perspective of the Kremlin. “It is important at the same time for European countries not to try use the Trans-Dniester settlement process to resolve their own domestic political problems. I have already said that I think, for example, that Romania should take a much more balanced and calmer position on this matter. If we continue to hear from them such words as we hear today, the leadership and ordinary people in Trans-Dniester will never agree to unification. This is just one example, but it shows that solutions can be found to the frozen conflicts” said president Medvedev. According to analyst Vladimir Socor, quoted by RFE / RL, referring to Romania was a pure diversion by the Kremlin is trying to obtain greater influence in EU decisions. I would rather integrate this reference to a message in the context of the forthcoming elections in Moldova.
And if Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said he would attend the NATO summit in Lisbon on November 20, in change he has turned down an invitation to go to next year’s Munich Security Conference (MSC) due to full agenda. But  Kommersant daily cited analysts as saying the real explanation is that Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili has also made the guest list.