Tag Archives: France

France, Greece, Serbia – elections under the impact of austerity

The first weekend of May is proving extremely eventful. Let’s take a look around…
Sunday, 6 May 2012, the main event will be, of course, France presidential election.  Some 46 million French will decide who will be their new President: Sarkozy or Hollande. Elections are running in Serbia and Greece, too. About the elections in France I will refer in a separate post.

Belgrad – Tadic’s strategy may works ?

Also Serbia is to hold presidential, parliamentary and municipal elections on Sunday. Tadic’s surprise resignation in April paved the way for early elections. But, according Businesswek, “the Serbian Democratic Party may lose May 6 general elections, while its leader, President Boris Tadic, will be forced into a runoff as voters reject moves to bring the former Yugoslav republic to the European Union. As governments from Ireland to Italy fall in a wave of anger over austerity, Tadic’s strategy to link a presidential vote to general elections to help his party may have fizzled.”. The build-up to the marathon vote has been dominated by economic issues, overshadowing debates about the country’s bid to join the EU. A struggling economy, growing joblessness (Serbia is plagued by unemployment of 24% and foreign debt of 24bn euros (£19.5bn; $31.5bn) and widespread discontent over falling living standards have taken center stage in Serbia’s election campaign, pushing aside debates over the country’s EU ambitions. Although is the main priority of Serbia’s foreign policy, European Union integration was outdated and uninteresting in the election campaign, even if Serbia was declared an official candidate for EU membership in March. Another central political issue in Serbia, which has hardly been mentioned in the election campaign, is the dispute over Kosovo. Serbia still refuses to recognize the sovereignty of the breakaway province (which declared independence in 2008), but pressures are rising from the EU on this issue. Notice that most political parties agree on this position towards Kosovo. But experts believe it will reach a compromise, both leading candidates, Boris Tadic from the reformist Democratic Party and his closest rival, opposition leader Tomislav Nikolic from the nationalist Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), want to steer Serbia towards the European Union. According Reuters News Agency, their parties are expected to form the strongest political groups in the future Serbian parliament.

Athena – Nothing new under the sun of Hellenic Republic

Also, the Greeks will choose Sunday between IMF-imposed austerity measures and leaving the euro. Will be the most disputed elections since 1974, and will mark a dangerous revival of extremist parties and decide the future single currency. Economic crisis and corruption among the political class have made as the surveys to show that in parliament will get about ten political parties (of the 32 formations entered in the electoral competition) from just five, at the previous election. Experts believe that the new extremist parliamentary parties will be the big winners of elections in Greece. With regard to post-election scenarios, Business Insider claims that Greece will be conducted after elections by the same coalition of conservatives and socialists, but the head will be another leader. As the threshold is 3% and competing 32 parties, many votes will dissipate, and the two big parties will get more seats than votes received would indicate. Since the restoration of the democratic regime in Greece, in 1974, conservatives and socialists were obtained with between 70 and 80% of votes, but polls now show a fall to below 40%.

UpdateFirst Official Greek Exit Polls – according to exit polls from NET TV, the results are as follows:

  • New Democracy: 17-20%
  • Pasok: 14-17%
  • In a stunner, Syrizia, or the coalition of the radical left – a vehement anti-Bailout party – gets more votes than the ruling PASOK party: 15.5%-18.5%
  • Independent Greeks: 10-12%
  • Finally, and not surprisingly in the aftermath of the French results, the ultra right Golden Dawn gets 6-8% of the vote and will make it into Parliament
Update_2: Early results in Greece’s parliamentary election suggest the two main parties have suffered dramatic losses. With 11% of the vote counted, centre-right New Democracy is in the lead with 22%, down from 33.5% in 2009. Centre-left Pasok is in second place with 16%, down from 43.9% in the last elections. Syriza, a left-wing coalition, is in third place with 15%. It could rises the instability for Greece. New Democracy may be unable to form a government, there may be calls for a fresh election and possibly even anti-bailout parties from the left and right may attempt to form a coalition.
Update_3: A new election seems increasingly likely within weeks after two days of failed efforts to reach an agreement among parties deeply divided over whether to stick to a program that saved Greece from bankruptcy but caused steep economic hardship.

Attack against Libya – Political Realism or just a filthy and disgusting way of doing politics ?

Faced with a serious drop in the eyes of French, President Nicholas Sarkozy felt the need to pretend to be the leader of anti-Gadhafi coalition. Of course, it will not restore the population’s sympathy.

But, I don′t understand how is possible as high  world leaders to not realize that are sad pathetic and ridiculous

French President Nicolas Sarkozy, left, welcomes United Arab Emirates' Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan for a crisis summit on Libya at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Saturday, March, 19, 2011. World leaders met Saturday in a summit in Paris that could be the final step before immediate international military action against Moammar Gadhafi's forces in Libya.

with a coalition leader who became president on Gadhafi‘s money. Also who was charged of leading nuclear business with the same dictator, on the issue of Bulgarian nurses. More, I don′t even bother to explain why juridic an interference with glitter of democracy is still illegal.

But I would like to mention some questions to which Mr Sarkozy has not responded, even if he was quick to recognize, wrongly again, a gang  by rebels as political interlocutor. Who are these rebels ? How are they ? What percentage of the population of Libya are they ? How many international observers in Libya last month ? What future strategy supporting these rebels ? It seems to me that the rebels aren′t some geniuses worthy of the  Peace Nobel Prize or some top leaders of human rights…

Let us be clear: Gadhafi is a dictator. But is a dictator who was  tolerated as long as it was useful. Functional hypocrisy… Some call it Political Realism. I think it’s just filthy and disgusting way of doing politics. We see that in the forefront of anti-Gadhafi coalition are  leaders (US, UK, France, Italy) who have just spoked «Gadhafi must go» at the beginning of the uprising Libyan. For they, Gadhafi’s staying in power means Goodbye to Libyan oil. For they is an urgent need the tyrant Gadhafi to emerge from the world political picture. What price ? The price paid by the public ? Or oil prices ? We’ll see. 😀 As we have already seen what happiness  was and is in Iraq after Saddam‘s removal from the scene !!

UN Security Council approved a resolution on Libya

The multipolar world means more «global policecount(r)y» ?

So… the United Nations Security Council approved a resolution Thursday evening that would establish a no-fly zone over Libya, and would authorize the use of air strikes against forces loyal to Colonel Muammar Qaddafi.

But… U.N. did not specify when the air patrols over Libyan airspace would begin, or which country would take the lead, but there are several reports that British and French warplanes could strike pro-government positions as soon as Friday. Jubilant Libyan rebels in Benghazi erupted with fireworks and gunfire after the U.N. vote Thursday evening (changing the masters means the joy of fools!!! :)) ).

The council’s resolution, approved yesterday 10-0 with five abstentions (Brazil, China, Russia, India and Germany), allows the U.S., the U.K., France and Arab nations to “take all necessary measures” to protect civilians. It excludes “a foreign occupation force of any form on any part of Libyan territory”. So… NATO can  to attack ground targets from air. Of course, we have an excellent memory and remember that in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq also with air strikes began the war. 😀

According to the White House, President Barack Obama spoke with Prime Minister David Cameron of the United Kingdom and President Nicolas Sarkozy of France about coordinating their actions to enforce the resolution passed  Thursday on Libya. In change, Guido Westerwelle, Germany’s Foreign Minister said Friday that German troops will not participate in any military action in Libya. “We believe that those who voted for military intervention have good motives, but looking at the risks not just in Libya but for the whole region, we have decided that German troops will not participate in military action,” he said. China also expressed reservations Friday about some aspects of the Security Council resolution. “We oppose the use of armed force in international relations and we have serious reservations about some of the content of the resolution” said Jiang Yu, a spokeswoman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

According Bloomberg, “oil surged in New York after the United Nations Security Council voted to ground Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi ’s air force as continuing unrest in the region renewed concerns the turmoil may spread and disrupt supply”.

Update: Saturday, 19 March

World leaders met Saturday in a summit in Paris that could be the final step before immediate international military action against Moammar Gadhafi’s forces in Libya. The meeting of 22 leaders hosted by French President Nicolas Sarkozy, including British Prime Minister David Cameron and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, took full shape only shortly before it was to begin. The African Union was not attending, as had previously been expected, but the Iraqi foreign minister was among those announced as late participants.

Meanwhile, the offensive continued on diplomatic front. Barack Obama met with President of Brazil, Dilma Rousseff. US Defense Secretary Robert Gates departs for Russia on Saturday for talks expected to touch on turmoil in the Middle East, the Afghanistan war and plans for missile defense, officials said. Gates was due to visit cultural landmarks in Saint Petersburg and address junior military officers on Sunday and Monday before meeting his Russian counterpart, Russian counterpart, Anatoly Serdyukov, and President Dmitry Medvedev in Moscow on Tuesday. While previous trips to Russia had been dominated by disputes over a planned US missile defense shield in Europe, this visit would cover a broader range of issues and reflected deepening military ties between the two countries, US officials said. Noticed that Brazil and Russia abstained from voting on resolution. Update: According AFP, Gates pushed back his departure to Sunday, a day later than planned, to remain in Washington and keep tabs on the developing situation in Libya, where the U.S. and its allies began military operations to enforce a U.N. no-fly zone.