Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

Saxo Bank’s outrageous predictions for 2011

Although a few of last year’s predictions actually came true, Saxo Bank has released their outrageous predictions for 2011. They are meant to be true outliers and not actual predictions, so don’t expect them to hit 10 for 10 or even 7 for 10.  They say these are the “rare scenarios that could have a significant impact on the markets in 2011”. The point of the list is to help people think about outlier scenarios and what it might take to see these come to pass.
Let’s take a look at what can bring the new year:
  • U.S Congress blocks Bernanke’s QE3
  • Apple buys Facebook
  • U.S. Dollar Index tops 100
  • U.S. 30-year Treasury yield slides to 3%
  • Aussie-sterling dives 25%
  • Crude oil gushes before correcting by one third
  • Natural gas surges 50%
  • Gold powers to $1,800 as currency wars escalate
  • S&P 500 reaches all-time high
  • Russia RTS Index reaches 2,500
  • FT Alphaville has a fuller discussion about each prediction here. Which of the above will make in 2011 ? The readers interested in statistics can to read here what Saxo predicted for 2010 (they were right on 3 out of its 10).

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