Egypt – army will take over power. But it will resolve the crisis?

Islamist leader offers to call early elections as military’s ultimatum expires, but nation remains on edge, troops move into state offices. As the military appeared to take control of state television, thousands of people massed in Tahrir Square in Cairo, waving flags, singing patriotic songs and demanding the ouster of President Mohammed Morsi. They danced and cheered after a local television report that Morsi was under house arrest, but two presidential advisers told NBC News that the report was not true.

A military coup disguised in civilian dress ?

Egypt_Tahrir“For the sake of Egypt and for historical accuracy, let’s call what is happening by its real name: Military coup” said Assistant on Foreign Relation of President Morsi. In a televised speech overnight, Morsi clung to control and said: “I am prepared to sacrifice my blood for the sake of the security and stability of this homeland”. After yesterday’s telephone conversation with Barack Obama, became clear that Morsi can not hope for support from the West. More, US state department spokeswoman Jen Psaki says in her daily briefing that the US is very concerned about conditions on the ground in Egypt and that Morsi “must do more to be responsive to concerns of the Egyptian people”.,”Democracy is not just about being elected through the ballot box,” she says. “It’s also about allowing the voices in your country to be heard”.

The military issued a call to arms in a FB post titled “The Final Hours.” It quoted the military leader, Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, as saying that it would be an honor to die rather than subject the Egyptian people to threats or terror. It is good to remember that the military controlled Egypt from February 2011, when protesters forced the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak, until June 2012, when Morsi won a competitive election and was sworn in.

Latest information suggests the existence of negotiations for the ceding power and Morsi’s departure in Jordan. Egyptian writer Bassem Sabry said on his twitter account: “Seif El-Yazal, close to military, says army statement being “fine tuned.” The statement will be made with attendance of Azhar, church, political forces. Seif El-Yazal also said statement by Egypt military and political forces will continue a detailed roadmap, not just a basic announcement.

Update: President Morsi replaced

Military ousts Egypt’s Mursi, fireworks left and right light up sky, current constitution suspended, new elections to be held. Egypt to see short interim period followed by technocrat legislative, presidential elections, said state news agency. 68 yr-old Adly Mahmoud, Head of Constitutional Court will run the country until a new president is elected. Mohamed El-Baradei, the former presidential candidate and opposition leader said the transition period will move toward new elections. He calls for “social justice for every single Egyptian.

Certainly the pattern of removing an elected institution with support on the ground by a mix of street mobilization and army intervention does not lead to positive outcomes.

Update (06.07.2013) – More than 30 people were killed and more than 1,000 injured in Friday’s violence following the ousting of Egypt’s President Mohammed Morsi, it has emerged. At least 12 died in Alexandria, and eight in two separate clashes in Cairo, the Health Ministry said.

Early on Saturday, state media reported the Brotherhood’s deputy leader Khairat el-Shater had been arrested at his Cairo home on suspicion of incitement to violence.

The US State Department issued a condemnation of Friday’s violence and called for all leaders to put a stop to any further aggression. UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon has also expressed alarm at the violence, saying that it was for the people of Egypt to determine the way forward – and all people, including women, needed to be part of that process, according BBC.

Update (07.07.2013) – An explosion has hit an Egyptian gas pipeline in the lawless Sinai peninsula following a spate of attacks on security checkpoints in recent days, state television and witnesses said.

It was not immediately clear who was responsible for the pipeline blast on Saturday or if the recent attacks were in reaction to the Egyptian army’s overthrow of Islamist President Mohammed Morsi on Wednesday. The fire caused by the explosion was under control by early Sunday morning, state media reported.

to be continued



2 responses to “Egypt – army will take over power. But it will resolve the crisis?

  1. Mihail Albisteanu

    Nu era clar că Vestul nu-l va sprijini pe Morsi? 🙂
    Pot să risc un scenariu (egiptean)? Alegerile vor fi organizate destul de repede, altfel populaţia va realiza că singura schimbare după Morsi (chiar şi cu un ajutor financiar american sporit) va rămâne permanenta devalorizare a monedei naţionale. Alegerile trebuie organizate repede şi pentru că, altfel, islamiştii vor pune mâna pe arme, rezultatul fiind previzibil (şi, cred eu, chiar preconizat în Vest şi asumat ca atare) – “modelul” algerian: un război de gherilă, cu pierderi interne mari şi imposibilitatea ca ţara să mai joace un rol regional important. Dar asta se şi vrea, nu? Şi, în fond, ce contează toate astea, dacă Suezul rămâne deschis, pentru ceea ce va urma…?

  2. O opinie interesantă. Multumesc pentru feed-back. Aveti dreptate, dacă lucrurile nu revin repede pe o cale cât de cât normală (cât e posibil în acest context), probabil vom avea o “nouă Sirie”, cu toate implicaţiile pe care le va genera un război de gherilă de lungă durată.

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