What will do Iran with E3+3 proposal ?

During two days (26 -27 February) in Almaty, Kazakhstan, in a new round of talks on the Iranian nuclear file, the so-called P5-plus-1 group offered to slightly ease economic sanctions if Tehran halts production of near-weapons-grade uranium fuel.

Iran in talks on nuclear programAs is well known, the powers — China, Russia, France, Britain, Germany and the United States — fear Iran is seeking the ability to make nuclear bombs, an intent it denies by authorities in Tehran. So, what happened in Almaty, by the rule and line ?

The world powers have proposed allowing Iran to trade in gold and some other precious metals, a change that would ease the sanctions that have largely severed Iran from the world banking system. They also offered to ease sanctions on petrochemical sales and relax some banking restrictions. In exchange, Iran would have to stop producing so-called medium-enriched uranium at its underground plant at Fordow.

At the end of the meeting, Foreign Minister of UK, William Hague said on his Twitter account that: ”Iran talks in Almaty were a useful first step.We look to Iran to respond positively to E3+3 proposal at next meeting in March.” Also, Michael Mann, chief spokesman for European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, who is diplomatic point person for the six powers, described the meetings as “useful”. Iran’s chief negotiator Saeed Jalili described the Almaty meeting as “positive”. In change, a State Department spokesman in Washington declined to comment on whether there had been progress in the talks. There is good to know that Secretary of State John F. Kerry implied this week that time was running out and that Washington could yet turn to military action to prevent Tehran from acquiring a bomb. Israel has also threatened military action.

The parties agreed to hold an experts meeting in Istanbul on March 18, followed by a political directors meeting, again in Almaty, Kazakhstan on April 5-6, negotiators from the P5+1 and Iran announced in a joint statement at the conclusion of talks Wednesday.

So, what will do Iran with such an offer ? Western diplomats say that their expectations are modest (also the expectations about Almaty meeting were minimal !) and that the most they might achieve from the talks is an agreement to have several lower-level follow-up meetings in the next several months. Iran is an year with presidential election. Serious negotiations or an Iranian decision until the fall (when will enter the power next president are unlikely (the election will be held in June, but the new president will not be in office until August). Until then, the parties involved (but mainly Iran, U.S. and Israel) will re-evaluate their options, strategies, ”jokers” and ”aces in the hole”. And, not least, the international community’s increasing concerns about weapons nuclear program in North Korea could change somewhat top of international agenda.

One response to “What will do Iran with E3+3 proposal ?

  1. Pingback: Power&Politics World » “Atitudinea conducerii Coreei de Nord nu a atins încă vârful de criză” consideră expertul militar, col. (r) Hari-Bucur Marcu

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