Anticipated elections in Moldova have started today at 7.00 with the opening of ballot boxes in those of the 1954 sections vote on the territory of Moldova. The electorate will nominate for the second time within four months, a new configuration of the Parliament. Turnout is expected to more than 2.6 million voters. Voting ends at 21.00 (Chisinau time), following immediately after that to be announced the first screenings of the exit-poll.
The bid of anticipated legislative elections is, according to analysts, the report forces of the communists Party (who was for eight years in government), which argues for a strategic partnership with Russia, and the liberal opposition, willing to closer relations with the West. In the same time, it may be that relations with Romania – have come to a high level of tensions without unprecedented – have become a challenge to those elections that occur in any four months after the previous legislative elections has brought to Parliament a majority sufficient to elect president country. On election day competition involved eight political formations of which five – six have chances to enter parliament. Meanwhile, from April 5 elections, the electoral threshold was changed from 6% to 5%. So things are presented in figures and official information.
Update: Exit-poll Procents in 5 aprilie 2009
- Communist Party: 41,7 % 49,5 %
- Liberal Party: 18 % 13,1 %
- Democrat Liberal Party: 17,4% 12,4 %
- Democrat Party: 11,5 % 2,9 %
- Aliance “Our Moldova”: 8 % 9,7 %
It is the opposition in Chisinau able to drive a change of substance ?
According to these data, the Communist Party has obtained the most percent, but insufficient parliamentary seats (45) to elect the President of the Republic of Moldova.
Opposition parties have won elections and 56 seats (also insufficient – necessary 61). Depends on whether these formations leaders will know how to fructify results and escape Moldova to the apparent normality of a schizoide democratic regime of Vladimir Voronin.
It is the opposition in Chisinau able to drive a change of substance ? Personal, I have doubts. But about it later.
The agreement signed today becomes effective once all countries will ratify. Project costs are estimated at 7.9 billion, but fund raising many questions. Financial crisis even more difficult process of attracting investors. Another problem is the lack of reliable suppliers in the long term. Agreements with gas suppliers such as Iraq, Egypt and Turkmenistan are still at the discussion level, yet. After countless delays, work has started for 2011, first gas deliveries are expected in 2015. In addition, clamp reducing of dependence of Russian gas is just an exercise of the image. Nabucco will provide only 20% of Europe’s gas, the remaining 80% will come from all Gazprom pipelines.
Interese comune, dar prioritati diferite si optimism moderat pare sa fie atributul evenimentelor aflate în topul agendei internationale a acestei saptamani. Mai exact, e vorba de vizita presedintelui USA, Barack Obama, la Moscova (6 – 8 iulie) si lucrarile Summitului G8 (8 – 12 iulie, L’Aquila, Italia). Pregatita pana la nivel de detaliu, prima vizita oficiala a presedintelui Obama în Rusia a continuat eforturile de „resetare” a relatiilor bilaterale dintre cele doua puteri. La Moscova, Obama a avut convorbiri cu presedintele Dmitri Medvedev si premierul Vladimir Putin, cu reprezentanti ai mediului de afaceri, ai institutiilor neguvernamentale, dar si cu fostul lider Mihail Gorbaciov. Tonul declaratiilor – optimism moderat/resetat. Obiectivul principal al discutiilor a vizat reducerea arsenalelor nucleare si stabilirea bazelor pentru un nou acord, pana în decembrie cand expira tratatul START 1. Cei doi preşedinţi au semnat acordul preliminar pentru noul tratat. Acesta ar stipula reducerea focoaselor nucleare sub plafonul actual (între 1500 si 1650 de unitati); însa ramane deschisa problema spinoasa a amplasarii Scutului antiracheta al SUA in Europa, subiect asupra caruia Rusia pare decisa (cel putin prin vocea premierului Putin) sa nu faca nici un compromis. Pe agenda convorbirilor s-au aflat si alte subiecte-cheie ale relatiilor bilaterale si internationale, respectiv criza economica, conflictul din Afghanistan, amenintarile nucleare ale Coreei de Nord si Iranului. Însa stabilirea unei relatii pragmatice de cooperare US – Rusia nu pare sa dea rezultatele scontate deoarece, desi ambele parti vorbesc aceeasi limba a intereselor comune (neproliferarea nucleara, lupta contra terorismului, crimei organizate si drogurilor, depasirea crizei economice etc.), prioritatile lor în politica externa sunt însa net diferite. În plus, pretinsa logica a razboiului rece, de care partile se acuza reciproc (Vladimir Putin a facut-o la Forumul de la Davos, iar recent Obama a tintit aceeasi acuza catre premierul Putin), e în fapt fatada în spatele careia stau reconfigurarea sferelor de influenta si interesele economice pe care cele doua puteri le vizeaza separat. Mai mult, chiar daca perceptia rusilor asupra Americii s-a îmbunatatit substantial dupa alegerea lui Obama (de la 23 la 46%, conform Vitsiom), premierul rus Vladimir Putin are în continuare un rol central si determinant în politica Rusiei, încrederea si popularitatea sa mentinandu-se chiar în conditiile crizei. Astfel ca declaratia presedintelui Obama ar putea fi perceputa drept o încercare fatisa de divizare a puterii bicefale a Moscovei. Si o strategie riscanta pentru Washington, raspunsul cu diplomatica ironie a premierului rus („Stau ferm pe ambele picioare si privesc spre viitor”) fiind edificator. Prefatat de ample proteste (desi Italia a suspendat temporar Acordul Schengen tocmai pentru a preveni astfel de incidente), Summitul G8 (Canada, Franta, Germania, Italia, Japonia, Rusia, Anglia si USA) de la L’Aquila (capitala regiunii Abruzzo) va aborda criza economica globala, siguranta hranei, lupta împotriva schimbarilor climatice si comertul international. 
gabrielaionita
